Here is an illustration on a Hierarchical Poisson failure rates from Clark and Gelfand, using Python and the PyMC package.

The Python code is as simple as the R code, although it is obviously more object-oriented. The main part are highlighted below. These are in fact where we specify the prior distributions:

alpha0 = Exponential('alpha0', 1.0, value=1.)
beta0 = Gamma('beta0', alpha=0.1, beta=1.0, value=1.)
theta = Gamma('theta', alpha=alpha0, beta=beta0, value=ones(k))

Running the model:

var_list = [alpha0, beta0, theta, y]
M = MCMC(var_list)
M.use_step_method(AdaptiveMetropolis, [alpha0, beta0])
Plot one
Plot one
Plot two
Plot two


  1. PyMC3
  2. Clark, J.S. and Gelfand, A. (2006). Hierarchical modelling for the environmental sciences: statistical methods. Oxford university Press

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